In its World Economic Outlook of April 14, 2026, the IMF projected, assuming the conflict stays limited in duration and scope, that global growth would slow to 3.1 percent in 2026 and be 3.2 percent in 2027. Global headline inflation is projected to rise modestly in 2026 before resuming its decline in 2027, with the slowdown and the rise in inflation particularly pronounced in emerging market and developing economies.On April 14, 2026 the IMF (International Monetary Fund) said the world economy is expected to grow 3.1 percent in 2026 and 3.2 percent in 2027. The forecast assumes the conflict does not drag on, and it says the pace of growth eases a little in 2026.
Projected global growth (April 2026)
20263.1%
20273.2%
Risks named in the outlook
○Applies: The conflict drags on or widens
○Applies: Divisions between countries deepen
○Applies: Expectations of AI-driven productivity are reassessed
On April 14, 2026 the IMF published the April 2026 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR), titled Global Financial Markets Confront the War in the Middle East and Amplification Risks. It says equity prices have fallen and bond yields have risen since late February, and that market functioning has remained orderly but risks are asymmetric and could intensify if the conflict persists.The IMF (International Monetary Fund) issues a report twice a year that checks whether the world's finances are stable. The April 2026 edition focuses on how the war in the Middle East affects financial markets. Since late February, share prices have fallen and the yields on government bonds have risen.
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